Bad news for the bettors: another two-underdog winner was completely won in Week 11. The Titans fell into the hands of the Texans, who used a strong defense operation wonderfully stymie one of the top teams in the AFC.
If you bet the Texans money in this game, power is up to you. But many gamblers who thought the Titans could be an easy choice to resist the spread because of their recent success failed, as gamblers released another powerful week and continued to make even gamblers able to cut their hair.
Towards Week 12, the NFL format looks like a mess. There are 12 teams with a better record than .500 in the AFC. The NFC has only six, but the Wild Card competition at the conference is set to be a battle between the five winning teams.
The 2021 NFL season has been as unexpected as ever, and this is unlikely to change. But at least one teams are starting to do well and look like competitors. The cardinals continue to do very well each week. Chiefs and Buccaneers have also started making appearances. And every regional leader is starting to leave as the league prepares for its trip.
But hey, this is still an unexpected season, so expecting things to settle in the last month and a half could be silly. Likewise, it is still important for bettors to look for more and fewer teams, to find sleepers and to know the latest injury news to take advantage of the NFL crisis, the current situation and the spread that could be beneficial.
And if there is a chance to find other Texans in the Titans genius disappointed, this could be very valuable. That said, there are no longer two digits under Week 12. Instead, these lines are the most integrated so far, with no one outside the Thanksgiving slate that stands above six points as of Wednesday, Nov. 24. So, if there are any disappointments, it will not be as confusing as some we have seen this year.
NFL challenges at Week 12
Below are some of the most recent Week 12 NFL challenges, including the spread of points, cash lines and more in each game, according to FanDuel Sportsbook.
Last updated: Thursday, Nov. 25.
NFL point spreads Week 12
|Tennessee Titans in the New England Patriots||NE-6|
|New York Jets in Houston Texas||HOU -2.5|
|Philadelphia Eagles to the New York Giants||PHI -3.5|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Indianapolis Colts||TB -3|
|Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars||ATL-1|
|Carolina Panthers in Miami Dolphins||GALIMOTO -1.5|
|Pittsburgh Steelers in the Cincinnati Bengals||CIN -4.5|
|Los Angeles Charger in Denver Broncos||LAC -2.5|
|Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers||SF-3|
|Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers||GB -1|
|Cleveland Browns on the Baltimore Ravens||BALL -3.5|
|Seattle Seahawks on the Washington Football Team||I-1|
NFL money lines Week 12
|Tennessee Titans in the New England Patriots||NE -280|
|New York Jets in Houston Texas||CRY -154|
|Philadelphia Eagles to the New York Giants||PA -174|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Indianapolis Colts||TB -158|
|Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars||ATL -118|
|Carolina Panthers in Miami Dolphins||CAR -126|
|Pittsburgh Steelers in the Cincinnati Bengals||CIN -198|
|Los Angeles Charger in Denver Broncos||LAC -148|
|Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers||Price SF-158|
|Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers||GB – 110|
|Cleveland Browns on the Baltimore Ravens||BALL -188|
|Seattle Seahawks on the Washington Football Team||I -116|
Continued NFL Week 12
|Tennessee Titans in the New England Patriots||44|
|New York Jets in Houston Texas||44.5|
|Philadelphia Eagles to the New York Giants||46|
|Tampa Bay Buccaneers in Indianapolis Colts||51.5|
|Atlanta Falcons at Jacksonville Jaguars||46.5|
|Carolina Panthers in Miami Dolphins||42|
|Pittsburgh Steelers in the Cincinnati Bengals||45|
|Los Angeles Charger in Denver Broncos||47.5|
|Minnesota Vikings at San Francisco 49ers||48|
|Los Angeles Rams at Green Bay Packers||48|
|Cleveland Browns on the Baltimore Ravens||46|
|Seattle Seahawks on the Washington Football Team||46.5|
For NFL Thanksgiving games, Click here.
The best NFL bets on Week 12
Seahawks (+1) Washington
Full disclosure: we tried to bet on the Seahawks as underdogs last week against Colt McCoy and the Cardinals. It did not work, as McCoy and the Cardinals truly embarrassed thte Seahawks, defeating them 23-13 at home and knocking them out of the playoffs with a 3-7 record.
So, why are we going back to the well and relying on the Seahawks again? Well, his reasoning is simple. There has been a great shaken by the spread of the game that could favor Seattle.
The high coverage of the game was widely accepted by the Seahawks. He was favored by 3.5 points on the road in Washington. Now, the spread has changed 4.5 points on the other hand. Of course, this has little to do with the Seahawks’ predicament. It is also due to Washington’s recent success, with the Football Team coming up again and again against the Buccaneers and Panthers.
However, the 4.5-point fluctuations in the spread are great development. The Seahawks were once expected to win the game with multiple goals. Now, they just need to win (or build) to cover this spread. That’s another good value, especially considering Russell Wilson is 36-11 straight after the loss. True, he lost last week even though he lost, but that should add him to a defense game that has been weaker than the Cardinals for the whole year.
It is also worth mentioning that Wilson’s toe injury will have another week to heal, and he will receive a day off in front of “Monday Night Football.” This may be important to him as he looks to regain his throwing shape.
Is this dangerous? Sure, but the Seahawks have to come back sometime, don’t they? And even though the average gambler may think Seattle is gone, he still doesn’t burn. As long as Russell Wilson plays, he will do everything in his power to win. This should be an opportunity to do this, although the Seahawks defense should find a way to counter Taylor Heinicke.
Titans (+6) at Patriots
The Patriots have been very good in recent weeks, winning five games in a row and covering the spread of each of them. However, all good things must come to an end, as well as for the Patriots, which can happen against the Titans.
Tennessee has faced challenges in recent weeks. He did not take part in the back-to-back game and was just caught by the lower Texans. That said, they should be prepared and encouraged to return as a normal person.
The Titans have been selected as the underdog this year. They have really set a 5-0 record against spreading like an underdog, so they seem to be doing well as one under Mike Vrabel. He will have a chance to stay in the game against the Patriots, and the spread of six points seems unlikely.
Obviously, the Titans will have to come back to replace Derrick Henry, either D’Onta Foreman or Dontrell Hilliard. They will also need Ryan Tannehill to avoid mistakes. He threw four runs against the Texans last week but only had eight a year in the weeks before.
If Tannehill can be right and avoid big mistakes, the Titans should move the ball slightly over the Patriots.
As for New England, it’s not a crime, so the Titans are against it. He has a fourth-best defense in the NFL and allows approximately 97.8 yards per game. He could be beaten up in the air, but Mike Vrabel could be prepared to take more chances to get Mac Jones out of his place and make him uncomfortable.
Vrabel could look back to take the underground path and force Jones to fight his defense deeper. The Patriots sign is one of the best passers-by in the league, but his deep ball is still in operation. He has just finished 13 of 38 over 20 yards for 408 yards, three touchdowns and three yards.
Either way, these are just too many points to give to a team like the Titans. They are 8-3 on the grounds and have performed very well as an underdog. New England can win the game, but if they are distracted by the crucial part coming with the “Monday Night Football” Bill on Week 13, it will be difficult to cancel the competition for the Titans.
NFL POWER RANKINGS: The Cowboys go down after losing vs. Chiefs
Store (-1) for Jaguars
The Falcons have been a threat in recent weeks against a number of high-profile opponents. He won a 68-3 aggregate match against the Cowboys and Patriots and appears to be on the wrong track after appearing as a first-round picker.
However, the Falcons are playing the Jaguars in Week 12, and Jacksonville agrees with the history of the teams that Atlanta won this year.
Meanwhile, the Falcons have been involved in the worst NFL tournament. They have won over the Giants, Jets, Dolphins and Saints. Three of the four teams are in the last eight a Football Outsiders’ DVOA metric , which “disrupts the entire game season, comparing success in each game with the league average based on a number of factors including ground, distance, field, goal difference, quarter, and type of opponents.”
In other words, it depends on how well the defense is compared to the rest of the league. And in particular, the success that the Falcons have with teams that do not have enough defense. Their only defeat to the under-12 team at DVOA came against Washington in a war that was raging.
|Week||Defendant||Price of DVOA||Results|
|1||against the Eagle||12 pa||L, 32-6|
|2||to the Buccaneers||1st||L, 48-25|
|3||at the Giants||25 pa||W, 17-14|
|4||against Washington||24 pa||L, 34-30|
|5||against the Jets||31 and||W, 27-20|
|7||in the Dolphins||27 and||W, 30-28|
|8||against the Panthers||19 and||L, 19-13|
|9||to the Saints||9 p.m.||W, 27-25|
|10||at the Cowboys||4 pa||L, 43-3|
|11||vs. Lovers of love||3rd||L, 25-0|
Where is Jacksonville according to DVOA? He’s looking for the 28th in the NFL, and is just adding 1.8 bags per game, ideal for the sixth-ranked team in the NFL. This should give Matt Ryan enough time to play in the pocket and get the win.
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